Israel: Will the Trump - Netanyahu Plan Work?
- noahbergman3
- Oct 1
- 2 min read
By Lady Olga Maitland
From Tel Aviv, we present a comment from Shay Zavaro, CEO of Monfort Advisory:
“The world is waiting to see what Hamas has to say. I personally believe their response will be a ‘yes’… which will effectively be a ‘no,’ and therefore I believe it will take a few more weeks to get a full ‘yes’ from Hamas, hopefully with the help of Turkey and Qatar.”
We are also publishing two reports from Firas Modad of Modad Geopolitics regarding Trump’s Peace Plan and the potential for another U.S. attack on Iran.
As Firas Modad told me privately, “It is impossible to ignore the military build-up, the purpose of which is to pressure Iran to give up ALL uranium enrichment capability – which, at the moment, includes sufficient uranium for nuclear energy and medical uses.
“By contrast, what of the Israeli nuclear weapons programme? This began in the 1960s and is consistently overlooked. Recently, the Iranians released the names of 189 Israeli scientists and officials working on the programme. Today, their estimated number of nuclear warheads is between 90 and 400. At present, Israel is the only country in the Middle East to possess nuclear weapons.
“Iranian television has recently broadcast footage of Israel’s Shimon Peres Nuclear Research Centre in the Negev desert, 13 kilometers from the local town of Dimona.”
A banker in Beirut told me: “So what? We have been expecting this. What we don’t understand is the constant Israeli bombing of southern Lebanon and Syria. Why? Neither country poses a threat. I agree Hezbollah in Lebanon is reasserting itself domestically, but they are now working within the government framework. Does Iran, which is much weakened, have the means to rebuild the military wing? I doubt it now.”
A conspiratorial view is that Washington has told Israel to bomb Shia-majority countries, such as Iran, but to leave the Sunni Gulf countries alone.
My view: “In the end, the entire process for the Middle East will follow its Levantine way. It will take time, require plenty of face-saving, and has no obvious clear route. Yet, it could still reach an end, albeit with a muddled outcome.”